New chapter: Agent-Based Modelling of Possible Pasts and Futures — Possibilities and Limitations

Malte Vogl | Sep 3, 2026 min read

Agent-based models let researchers explore possible pasts and possible futures side by side. This chapter takes stock of what such models can offer historians and policymakers working with incomplete evidence, weighing their limitations as carefully as their possibilities.

Read the paper

  • Authors: Gesine A. Steudle, Malte Vogl, Aleksandra Kaye, and Sarah Wolf
  • In: Bridging History and Policy: Essays on Resilience, Sustainability and Systems Modelling, ed. John F. Haldon and Ricardo Fernandes, Understanding Complex Systems (Springer, 2026), starting p. 115
  • DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-24379-9_7